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What is a Cash Flow Hedge?

Cash Flow Hedge

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Cash Flow Hedge

A cash flow hedge is a financial risk management strategy that companies use to protect themselves from exposure to fluctuations in cash flows caused by changes in variables such as interest rates, exchange rates, or commodity prices. This type of hedge is typically implemented using financial derivatives, such as futures, forwards, or options contracts.

In a cash flow hedge, the goal is to offset the impact of changes in the underlying variables on future cash flows associated with an existing asset, liability, or a highly probable forecasted transaction. The effectiveness of the hedge is assessed by measuring the degree to which the changes in cash flows of the hedging instrument offset the changes in cash flows of the hedged item. If the hedge is effective, the gains or losses from the hedging instrument will offset the changes in cash flows of the hedged item, reducing the company’s exposure to risk.

For example, consider a U.S. company that has a significant amount of revenue in euros. The company is concerned about the potential impact of exchange rate fluctuations on its cash flows. To protect itself from this risk, the company enters into a forward contract to sell euros and buy U.S. dollars at a predetermined exchange rate on a future date. This forward contract acts as a cash flow hedge, as it will help offset any adverse changes in the euro-to-dollar exchange rate on the company’s future cash flows.

Accounting standards, such as IFRS and U.S. GAAP, provide specific guidelines for the accounting treatment of cash flow hedges. When a cash flow hedge is considered effective, the gains or losses on the hedging instrument are recorded in other comprehensive income (OCI) and are later reclassified to the income statement when the hedged item affects earnings.

Example of a Cash Flow Hedge

Let’s consider a hypothetical example of a cash flow hedge involving an airline company, “FlyHigh Airlines.”

FlyHigh Airlines is concerned about the potential increase in jet fuel prices over the next year, which could negatively impact its cash flows and profit margins. To protect itself from this risk, FlyHigh decides to enter into a cash flow hedge using futures contracts on jet fuel.

Assumptions:

  • FlyHigh expects to purchase 1 million gallons of jet fuel in 12 months.
  • The current market price of jet fuel is $2.00 per gallon.
  • FlyHigh enters into a futures contract to buy 1 million gallons of jet fuel at a fixed price of $2.10 per gallon in 12 months.

Let’s analyze two scenarios:

Scenario 1: Jet fuel prices increase

  • In 12 months, the market price of jet fuel rises to $2.50 per gallon.
  • FlyHigh’s futures contract allows it to buy jet fuel at $2.10 per gallon, resulting in a gain of $0.40 per gallon ($2.50 – $2.10).
  • This gain on the futures contract offsets the increased cash outflow due to higher jet fuel prices, effectively hedging FlyHigh’s exposure to fluctuating jet fuel prices.

Scenario 2: Jet fuel prices decrease

  • In 12 months, the market price of jet fuel falls to $1.80 per gallon.
  • FlyHigh’s futures contract still requires it to buy jet fuel at $2.10 per gallon, resulting in a loss of $0.30 per gallon ($2.10 – $1.80).
  • This loss on the futures contract is offset by the reduced cash outflow due to lower jet fuel prices, maintaining FlyHigh’s original cost expectation.

In both scenarios, the cash flow hedge helps FlyHigh Airlines manage its exposure to jet fuel price fluctuations, stabilizing its cash flows and protecting its profit margins. The gains or losses on the futures contracts would be recorded in other comprehensive income (OCI) and later reclassified to the income statement when the hedged jet fuel purchases affect earnings.

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